Conf = USA South
Nickname = NC Falcons Coach = Tucker NelGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.1042099 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 N Birmingham Southern SAA ( 9- 4, 87.5) 6- 9 224 A Roanoke ODAC (15- 6, 94.0) 6-23 228 A Guilford ODAC ( 8-10, 82.8) 19- 9 305 H Calvin MIAA (12- 6, 84.0) 7- 9 306 H Hiram NCAC ( 5-12, 70.5) 23- 7 309 A Catholic Landmark (10- 9, 87.3) 12-16 313 H Ohio Northern OAC (13- 6, 87.3) 9-10 316 A LaGrange USA South ( 8-10, 77.1) 27- 8 323 H Piedmont USA South (15- 3, 85.3) 11- 8 330 H Huntingdon USA South ( 4-12, 71.4) 25- 5 413 A Southern Virginia USA South ( 8-11, 82.2) 16-15 417 H Brevard USA South ( 2-14, 66.7) 23- 2 420 A William Peace USA South ( 3-11, 69.9) 1- 0 424 A Methodist USA South ( 9- 8, 78.9) 17- 3 427 H Greensboro USA South ( 7- 9, 75.9) 22- 8 502 H Methodist USA South ( 9- 8, 78.9) 20- 6 504 H Piedmont USA South (15- 3, 85.3) 20-17 508 A Centre SAA (12- 4, 88.7) 13-12 511 A Lynchburg ODAC (16- 6, 96.3) 8-24
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 N Birmingham Southern 6- 9 -3 -1 -1.71 224 A Roanoke 6-23 -17 -8 0.00 228 A Guilford 19- 9 10 2 ++ 4.34 305 H Calvin 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.94 306 H Hiram 23- 7 16 16 0.00 309 A Catholic 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.18 313 H Ohio Northern 9-10 -1 0 -0.61 316 A LaGrange 27- 8 19 8 0.00 323 H Piedmont 11- 8 3 1 1.40 330 H Huntingdon 25- 5 20 15 0.00 413 A Southern Virginia 16-15 1 3 - -2.29 417 H Brevard 23- 2 21 20 0.00 424 A Methodist 17- 3 14 6 0.42 427 H Greensboro 22- 8 14 11 0.00 502 H Methodist 20- 6 14 7 0.00 504 H Piedmont 20-17 3 1 1.40 508 A Centre 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.21 511 A Lynchburg 8-24 -16 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Calvin 7- 9 -2 2 -- -4.94 309 A Catholic 12-16 -4 -1 - -2.18 413 A Southern Virginia 16-15 1 3 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Guilford 19- 9 10 2 ++ 4.34 508 A Centre 13-12 1 -3 ++ 4.21
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 86.20 Power Rank................. 96 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 61.19 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 143 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6502 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 52 RPI Rating............... .5697 RPI Rank................... 54 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 184 Selection sum ........... 174 Selection Rank ............ 55 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -75. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 69 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 68 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0