Conf = USA South ------ State = C
Mascot = Falcons ------ Coach = Tucker NelsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.7250824 home-field advantage = -0.53 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Hampden-Sydney ODAC (12- 6, 86.8) 13-20 222 A Lynchburg ODAC (14- 7, 92.2) 12-21 226 H Guilford ODAC ( 5-13, 76.4) 19- 6 308 H LaGrange USA South ( 2- 8, 67.9) 29- 4 311 H Lake Forest NACC (10- 8, 79.7) 14- 8 315 H Southern Virginia USA South ( 9- 9, 75.3) 18- 4 318 N Massachusetts-Boston LEC (14- 5, 84.6) 8-12 320 H DePauw NCAC ( 5- 9, 79.1) 16- 5 329 A Huntingdon USA South ( 4-10, 67.7) 23- 7 405 A Piedmont USA South (10- 5, 78.5) 18- 6 409 H Methodist USA South (12- 7, 77.3) 13-11 411 A Warren Wilson D3 Independen ( 1-12, 56.9) 28- 0 412 H William Peace USA South ( 6- 8, 68.3) 27- 6 416 A Greensboro USA South ( 6-12, 70.1) 25- 5 418 A Brevard USA South ( 2-13, 61.7) 34- 5 501 H Southern Virginia USA South ( 9- 9, 75.3) 20- 4 503 H Methodist USA South (12- 7, 77.3) 18- 3 507 A St Marys (MD) United East (10- 8, 88.1) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Hampden-Sydney 13-20 -7 -4 - -2.40 222 A Lynchburg 12-21 -9 -9 0.00 226 H Guilford 19- 6 13 6 0.13 308 H LaGrange 29- 4 25 15 0.00 311 H Lake Forest 14- 8 6 3 + 2.41 315 H Southern Virginia 18- 4 14 7 0.00 318 N Massachusetts-Boston 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.18 320 H DePauw 16- 5 11 4 + 2.87 329 A Huntingdon 23- 7 16 14 0.00 405 A Piedmont 18- 6 12 3 + 3.28 409 H Methodist 13-11 2 6 -- -4.00 411 A Warren Wilson 28- 0 28 25 0.00 412 H William Peace 27- 6 21 15 0.00 416 A Greensboro 25- 5 20 12 0.00 418 A Brevard 34- 5 29 20 0.00 501 H Southern Virginia 20- 4 16 7 0.00 503 H Methodist 18- 3 15 6 1.00 507 A St Marys (MD) 9-18 -9 -5 -1.14UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Methodist 13-11 2 6 -- -4.00 215 A Hampden-Sydney 13-20 -7 -4 - -2.40 318 N Massachusetts-Boston 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.18OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Lake Forest 14- 8 6 3 + 2.41 320 H DePauw 16- 5 11 4 + 2.87 405 A Piedmont 18- 6 12 3 + 3.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 82.73 Power Rank................. 95 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 51.18 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 173 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5845 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 104 RPI Rating............... .5511 RPI Rank................... 70 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 170 Selection sum ........... 209 Selection Rank ............ 63 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 33 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 35 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 19.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 11.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.3